Line: Patriots -3.5

The New England Patriots and the Kansa City Chiefs will compete on Monday Night football. The Patriots suffered a surprising week 1 loss to the Miami Dolphins, followed that up by dominating the Vikings and then were impressive defensively while struggling all game long offensively. They are headed into Arrowhead stadium on Monday, which is one of the most hostile environments in the NFL and they will need a better offensive performance if they want to improve to 3-1. The Chiefs lost at home in week one to the Titans and played the Broncos tough in a week 2 24-17 loss to the Broncos. They are coming off their first win of the season in convincing 34-15 fashion against the Miami Dolphins on the road. They will be looking to evening their record at 2-2.

The Chiefs gave quarterback a lucrative contract extension to quarterback Alex Smith prior to the season and he performed like somebody worthy of big money in week 3. He shook off being sacked 5 times by going 19-25 for 186 yards and three touchdown passes. In Coach Andy Reid’s offense he will not be called upon to throw the ball down the field very often and a stat line like this is ideal, especially when there is a zero in the interception column like there was last week. Running back Jamal Charles was having a very disappointing season before injuring his knee and the Chiefs seem to have a more that adequate replacement in Knile Davis who had 32 carries for 132 yards and a touchdown. They have also found someone to replace Charles as a pass catching threat out of the backfield in running back Joe McKnight who led the team in catches with 6 that went for 64 yards. The Chiefs do not have any explosive playmakers at wide receiver or tight end and will be hoping that Dwayne Bowe will rediscover his old form and become the big time receiving threat that he has been in previous seasons.

The Patriots appear to be forming into the type of team that they were early in their dynasty, which is a team, built on defense. They have held teams to 7 and 9 points in consecutive weeks. Those two teams were Minnesota and Oakland so it remains to be seen, however so far the defense looks to be dramatically improved. Tom Brady does not have a number 1 receiver but does have a variety of receivers that all possess a different skill. Last week Julian Edelman was the go to guy with 10 catches for 84 yards. Brady was 24-37 for 234 yards and a touchdown. Look for Tight end Rob Gronkowski to continue to improve. He played in over 50% of the snaps against the Raiders and that number is only going to increase as the season goes on. As his snaps go up the overall performance of the offense will improve.

Pick: Chiefs +3.5

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