UFC 107 BJ Penn Vs Diego Sanchez - Betting Preview and Picks
December 7, 2009 - UFC 107 B.J. Penn Vs Diego Sanchez will see the "Prodigy" defend his Lightweight UFC Title against the "Nightmare" on Saturday December 12, 2009, Memphis, Tenn. 10 PM EST/ 7 PM PST PPV. BJ Penn is a strong -300 odds favorite over Diego Sanchez +220 odds. Diego Sanchez will need more than his trademark mean faces to beat BJ Penn as he is 3-1 underdog. Kenny Florian is looking for comeback victory and is a -210 odds favorite over Clay Guida +165. Frank Mir wants to get back to a heavyweight title fight and he is a -200 odds favorite over Cheick Kongo +160 odds.
B.J. Penn MMA Stats - The Prodigy
Record: MMA 14-5-1
Wins: 5 TKO, 6 Submissions, 3 Decision
Losses: 2 TKO, 3 Decision
Weight: 170 lb
Diego Sanchez MMA Stats - The Nightmare
Record: MMA 21-2
Wins: 6 TKO, 9 Submissions, 6 Decision
Losses: 2 Decision
Weight: 170 lb
UFC 107 Bet Odds: B.J. Penn Vs Diego Sanchez
B.J. Penn -300
Diego Sanchez +220
Betting Odds Source: BetUS Sportsbook December 7, 2009
BJ Penn is the strong favorite at -300 odds meaning that for every $300 bet will payout $100. Diego Sanchez is the underdog at +220 odds meaning that for every $100 bet will payout $220. BJ Penn opened up around -270 odds and the majority of the money has been coming of BJ driving the line up. Diego has a strong core of fans this will not be a public play on BJ Penn as both fighters are very popular.
UFC 107 Bet Pick/Prediction: BJ Penn Vs Diego Sanchez
Both fighters were originally in the 170 lb division and now compete at 155 lb so weight cutting should not be a problem. A lot guys dogBJ Penn because of his past conditioning and believe they can wear him down and exhaust like GSP. Kenny Florian tried that strategy and BJ Penn has shown improvement in conditioning with a new strength and conditioning coach and it should not be a factor in this fight. Sanchez's two losses have come against top tier wrestlers in Jon Fitch and Josh Koscheck. BJ Penn has a world class ground game with his BJJ and Sanchez's game plan will lean towards banging and circling with BJ to use his slight reach advantage. Diego in pre fight interviews looks extremely confident and feels like he is at the top of his game. His last fight with Clay Guida could be MMA fight of the year. I believe that Diego will get caught up in the moment again and charge out of the gate to throw down with BJ Penn. BJ Penn has a great chin and superior KO power to Sanchez. Sanchez's striking has improved dramatically in its accuracy and combinations but I see a KO victory for Penn as Diego gets caught being overaggressive and BJ Penn uses a counter punching game plan.
***TAKE BJ Penn -300 odds***
UFC 107 Bet Odds: Cheick Kongo Vs Frank Mir
Cheick Kongo +160
Frank Mir -200
UFC 107 Bet Pick/Prediction: Cheick Kongo Vs Frank Mir
Frank Mir opened up at -155 and betting action has been steady on Frank Mir. Kongo is an excellent striker with a kick boxing background with great reach but he has a very limited ground game. Kongo has never been submitted in 20 MMA fights as he is freakishly strong even on the ground but he has little to no offense on the ground. I see huge betting value in this MMA line and think it should be around -300 to -400 Mir. Mir is a crafty veteran than can bring Kongo to the ground from the clinch and when it gets to the ground Mir has a good chance to pick submission of the night bonus money or ground and pound for the victory.
***TAKE Frank Mir -200 odds***
Odds released probably on Wednesday or when sources become available. Most likely line makers want to see if Anthony Johnson could make weight.
UFC 107 Bet Odds: Jon Fitch Vs Mike Pierce
Jon Fitch TBA
Mike Pierce TBA
UFC 107 Bet Odds: Kenny Florian Vs Clay Guida
Kenny Florian -210
Clay Guida +165
UFC 107 Bet Odds: Paul Buentello Vs Stefan Struve
TBA - Rest of fight card lines will most likely come out Wednesday before the fight or when sources come available.
Source: December 7, 2009 - BetUS Sportsbook.
Location: Memphis, Tenn.
Broadcast: PPV 10 PM EST/7 PM PST
* Champ B.J. Penn Vs Diego Sanchez (for lightweight title)
* Cheick Kongo Vs Frank Mir
* Jon Fitch Vs Mike Pierce
* Kenny Florian Vs Clay Guida
* Paul Buentello Vs Stefan Struve
PRELIMINARY CARD (un-aired)
* Alan Belcher Vs Wilson Gouveia
* Shane Nelson Vs Matt Wiman
* Ricardo Funch Vs Johny Hendricks
* Lucio Linhares Vs Rousimar Palhares
* Edgar Garcia Vs DaMarques Johnson
* Kevin Burns Vs T.J. Grant
MMA and UFC Bet Links
Online Gambling Terms. To Bet on UFC 107 Diego Sanchez Vs BJ Penn try any of these US sportsbooks:
BetUS Sportsbook Review for a great MMA Sportsbook with high bonus. BetUS has MMA Total Rounds Over/Under. Sportsbook.com Review for a MMA Sportsbook with a high credit card acceptance rate. Diamond Sportsbook Review for a high limit MMA Sportsbook if you want to lay the lumber to the book. Bodog Sportsbook Review for US Sportsbook with great customer service. UFC betting with Credit Card for tips of Credit Card Sports betting.
UFC Betting explained for a tutorial on MMA betting odds.