UFC 91 Couture Vs Lesnar : Betting Preview
November 10, 2008 - UFC 91 is expected to be the biggest MMA fight in history and is expected to break all records for PPV buys as 3-time UFC Champ Randy "The Natural" Couture makes his return to the Octagon and defends his heavyweight title against the 265 lb larger than life behemoth Brock Lesnar. Online sportsbooks currently have Brock Lesnar as a slight -125 odds favorite over Randy Couture -105. The under card features an exciting fight of the night potential Kenny "KenFlo" Florian Vs Joe "Daddy" Stevenson. Kenny Florian is a clear favorite at -185 odds over Joe Stevenson +145. UFC 91: Couture Vs Lesnar will take place on Saturday November 15, 2008 at the MGM Grand Garden Arena, Nevada PPV LIVE.
Randy "The Natural" Couture MMA Stats
Record: MMA 16-8-0 (13-5 UFC)
Wins: 7 TKO, 2 Submissions, 7 Decision
Losses: 4 TKOs, 4 Submissions
Weight: 225 lb
Brock Lesnar MMA Stats
Record: MMA 2-1
Wins: 1 Submission, 1 Decision
Losses: 1 Submission
Weight: 265 lbs
UFC 91 Bet Odds: Randy Couture Vs Brock Lesnar
Randy Couture -105
Brock Lesnar -125
Source: BetUS Sportsbook.
Brock Lesnar is the current slight odds favorite at -125 odds meaning that for every $125 bet will payout $100. Sportsbooks opened betting odds months ago at even money odds. Early betting action has been slightly in favor of Brock Lesnar. I suspect the sheer number ofWWE fans and Brock Lesnar's sheer imposing Shrek like size is drawing betting action. Betting odds should not shift two much coming up to the Saturday fight. Most experienced MMA fans will be putting the paper on Randy Couture and square bettors will lay the wood on Brock Lesnar.
UFC 91 Bet Pick: Randy Couture Vs Brock Lesnar
Randy Couture is going be about 20-30 pounds lighter than Lesnar in the ring. Brock will come in right at the 265 pound limit. Watching Lesnar's tape of his win over Heath Herring shows that he immobilizes his opponent with a one arm grab and grinds out the punishment for a points decision without even attempting a submission even though he had Herrings back. Couture has the ring experience and expect him to come in with a solid game plan to submit Lesnar after Brock is overly aggressive on his take down or when he has Couture on the mat. TAKE Couture as a heavy play.
UFC 91 Bet Odds: Kenny Florian Vs Joe Stevenson
Kenny Florian -185
Joe Stevenson +145
Kenny Florian (10-3 MMA) is a strong favorite at online sportsbooks as he is on a 5 fight UFC win streak and is coming off a unanimous decision victory over a tough Roger Huerta. Joe "Daddy" Stevenson is coming of a rebound submission victory overGleison Tibau after his loss to BJ Penn at UFC 80. I expect this to be a much closer fight than the odds suggest. There is too much betting value for Joe Stevenson at +145 meaning that for every $100 bet will payout $145.
UFC 91 Bet Picks: Kenny Florian Vs Joe Stevenson
TAKE Joe Stevenson for a unit play. I expect Stevenson to grind out a decision win over Florian.
UFC 91 Bet Odds: Alvin Robinson Vs Mark Bocek
Alvin Robinson +110
Mark Bocek -140
UFC 91 Bet Odds: Demian Maia Vs Nate Quarry
Demian Maia -225
Nate Quarry +180
UFC 91 Bet Odds: Matt Brown Vs Ryan Thomas
Matt Brown -210
Ryan Thomas +170
UFC 91 Bet Odds: Jorge Gurgel Vs Aaron Riley
Jorge Gurgel -115
Aaron Riley -115
UFC 91 Bet Odds: Jeremy Stephens Vs Rafael dos Anjos
Jeremy Stephens -145
Rafael dos Anjos +115
UFC 91 Bet Odds: Dustin Hazelett Vs Tamdan McCrory
Dustin Hazelett -200
Tamdan McCrory +160
UFC 91 Bet Odds: Gabriel Gonzaga Vs Josh Hendricks
Gabriel Gonzaga -450
Josh Hendricks +300
Source: BodogLife Sportsbook. BetUS MMA lines should be up on Friday at similar odds.
Main Card Bouts:
-Randy Couture vs. Brock Lesnar
-Gabriel Gonzaga vs. Josh Hendricks
-Joe Stevenson vs. Kenny Florian
-Demian Maia vs. Nathan Quarry
-Dustin Hazelett vs. Tamdan McCrory
-Jeremy Stephens vs. Rafael dos Anjos
-Alvin Robinson vs. Mark Bocek
-Jorge Gurgel vs. Aaron Riley
-Ryan Thomas vs. Mike Brown
For current MMA/UFC odds visit BetUS Sportsbook.
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