Chicago Bears vs. San Francisco 49ers Betting Odds Preview - NFL Week 11

Last weekend three of the NFL’s top QBs were knocked out of their respective games. As fate would have it two of those teams meet this Monday night for Week 11’s MNF. The Chicago Bears will be travelling to San Francisco to take on the 49ers in what will now be the unknowable. The Bears are 7-2 and on top of the NFC North. The 49ers are 6-2-1 and top of the NFC West. But last week 49ers QB Alex Smith and Bears QB Jay Cutler each suffered concussions during their games and had to leave those games. Both QBs are still listed as questionable for this week’s game.

The Bears lost their first game to Green Bay 23-10 then lost their second game last weekend to Houston 13-6. Their wins were all against middle or lower ranked teams so this game would have once again been a solid test to see if Chicago really is a legitimate contender for the championship. Furthermore, Chicago has 4 more division games to play with 7 weeks left in the season, they would really benefit from an out-of-division win this week. The loss of Cutler will seriously undermine Chicago’s offensive production. While Bears are ranked 30th in the NFL for passing yards per game, they score the majority of their TDs through the air. They use their 9th ranked run game to move the ball utilizing a duel running back system led by Matt Forte and supported by Michael Bush. On average the Bears score 26.9 points each game.

San Francisco has a very similar offense and they average 23.7 points per game. Their passing game is ranked 28th in the league and their run game is 1st in the league. What is interesting, and critically important for this week, is that after Alex Smith left the game in the 2nd quarter, the 49ers, under the leadership of QB backup Colin Kaepernick, made a 4th quarter rally to tie the game scoring two rushing TDs. That the 49ers can rally and score with their backup QB is significant. After Jay Cutler left the game, the Bears were not able to do much offensively and QB backup Jason Campbell went 11-19 with 94 yards passing.

These offensive woes will translate into a defensive battle on Monday night. On paper the 49ers have the better defense; 5th against the pass and 7th against the run. The Bears are 10th against the pass and 4th against the run. Both teams have allowed an average of about 14 points per game this season. However, as of late the 49ers have been slightly stingier with points, they game up most of their points early in the season. In terms of yards allowed per game this season, the 49ers are slightly better but not by much.

San Francisco is favored to win this game with a 4.5 point spread but the over/under is yet to be listed at time of writing. And really how could anyone predict a game total when both teams will likely be missing their starting QBs. Still the edge should fall to the 49ers who have a slight better defense and their offense has proven they can do something without their star QB Alex Smith. As a liberal estimate, it would be hard to see this game going over 30 points but it is all dependent on how each team copes with their new QB. Picking a spread for this game is also a high risk decision; there is a good chance that if the 49ers win they may not be able to cover the spread.

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