Denver Broncos vs. Atlanta Falcons Betting Odds Preview - NFL Week 2
Denver and Atlanta meet this week on Monday Night Football at 8:30pm ET. The Broncos are coming off a big victory against Pittsburgh and Atlanta is likewise coming off a strong victory over Kansas City. One of these teams will remain undefeated and the odds makers are predicting Atlanta will claim that honor.
This is a cross conference game so it has been a while since these two teams faced off. That complicates predictions but Atlanta is favored to with an over/under of 51 points and a 3 point spread. Whenever there is a close spread the signal is that the game could go either way. In fact, it’s likely that Denver could run away with this game. First, Atlanta beat the Chiefs 40-24 while Denver beat Pittsburgh 31-19; comparable margins. However, many observers consider Pittsburgh to be a far stronger team than Kansas City. Second, Atlanta had the lead the whole game; Denver was actually behind until the third quarter before having an outstanding fourth quarter to really put the Steelers away. Any doubts about Denver’s ability to compete with Peyton Manning at the helm are far gone. Atlanta should actually be worried about the win in Kansas City because their quarterback Matt Ryan was nearly their rushing leader last week; Atlanta running back Michael Turner had only 32 yards on 11 carries.
Atlanta surely benefited from a great day last weekend from Matt Ryan. He had an above average day for himself passing for 299 yards, for 3 TDs and no interceptions. Payton Manning threw for 253 yards, 2 TDs and no interceptions. If you watched Denver-Pittsburgh game you know that the numbers do not tell the full story. In the second half, and especially the fourth quarter, when the game was tight, Ben Roethlisberger began to fall apart while Payton Manning only seemed to get better. This week if the game is close, a strong edge to Denver because Manning’s composure and vision on the field put him on a whole other level. Denver has been tested and prevailed.
Defensively Denver is ranked well ahead of Atlanta. Denver stuffed the run well in Week One which will pay dividend this week. The Broncos are led by linebacker Wesley Woodyard who had 12 solo tackles last Sunday and a sack. Woodyard will be the guy to bring down Ryan if he thinks about scrambling from the pocket. Atlanta’s offense will benefit from the Bronco’s cornerback Chris Harris’ questionable status following an ankle sprain against the Steelers. Atlanta’s defense can make plays too, they had two interceptions on the Chiefs and they tackle as a team getting productivity from their whole defense. Probably this will only serve to stifle the Broncos from an explosive start.
Atlanta will be facing a serious opponent this week and if they have virtually no run game the Broncos can sit back in pass protection. Atlanta is good in the red zone so they need to get there to make scores. All of their TDs last weekend were in the red zone; TDs not field goals will win them this game. Manning and the Broncos are dangerous from anywhere on the field, expect them to score often especially in the red zone where the Falcons defense failed both times last week.
The spread should be considered too low but the over/under seems about right if you half Atlanta’s Week One production and assume the Broncos can score just as many points as last week. Probably pick over on the total as most games last week went over 51 points. Denver for the win.
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