Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Betting Odds Preview - NFL Week 7

Detroit at Chicago on Monday Night Football is one of the many great divisional matchups of Week 7. The 2-3 Lions will be taking on the 4-1 Bears who are first in the NFC North. The Lions are in last place in the division behind Minnesota and Green Bay. Despite high hopes for this season the Lions lost a close game to Tennessee and lost to Minnesota two weeks ago; winning those games would have been big for them. Nonetheless, they have kept themselves alive by beating Philadelphia and St. Louis. Chicago has dominated opponents all season with the exception of a 23-10 loss to Green Bay in Week Two. Chicago’s opponents have been on the weaker side of the league so their loss to Green Bay may be a red flag as they head into the tougher half of their schedule.

But coming off a bye week Chicago should be as prepared as they can be for this game against the Lions. With no reported injuries hampering the team they should be playing to their full potential. Their defense boasts the #1 run defense in the league and the 14th ranked pass defense in the league. Offensively the Bears have been weaker in the pass ranking 23rd but 10th in the run.

The Lions are 2nd in the league for average passing yards each game and 19th in the running game, their defense is 16th against the pass and 12th against the run. This sort of ranking matchup can make for an unpredictable game. But looking at the total offensive yards per game average, Detroit averages 420 yards and Chicago 346 yards. That’s a big difference. But on defense, Chicago has allowed an average of 291 yards a game and Detroit 324 yards, not as big a difference.

Chicago is favored to win this game with a 6 point spread and an over/under of 47.5 points. Chicago has beat opponents by nearly 20 points in every one of their wins. This suggests that the line makers are also thinking that Chicago’s schedule has been weaker to this point than Detroit’s schedule. Plus the mismatch of strengths between the teams makes the offensive play of each team an important factor; the team that can capitalize on their own strengths could win this game.

Detroit has scored an average of 25.2 points each game and allowed an average of 27.4 points. Chicago has scored an average of 29.8 points and on average allowed only 14.2 yards. The ability of Chicago’s defense to shut down the run forcing the pass has allowed them to control opposing offenses. Also, Chicago is able to get good pressure and post sacks while rushing just 4 defensive linemen, this allows them to continue to support their pass defense with more men in the secondary.

As for the final point total, with the exception of the Green Bay game Chicago has scored at least 23 points every game. Against better teams Detroit seems to score around 20 points. But these teams seem evenly matched so a lower scoring game makes sense. If Detroit can slow the Bear’s run game then the final score will total less than 47.5 points. The spread can probably be covered but just barely. This game could be a lot like the game Detroit played against Minnesota which ended in a 20-13 win for Minnesota; with the Bears winning, after all, they are 2-0 at home.

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