Line: Texans -3

The 6-5 Houston Texans will travel to Buffalo to take on the 5-6 Bills with both teams streaking in different direction. The Texans defeated the New Orleans Saints 24-6 last to increase their win streak to 4 games. In 3 of those 4 wins they limited their opponent to only 6 points and they are tied for first place in the AFC South. Buffalo lost 30-22 to the Kansas City Chiefs and lost the previous week to the Patriots. They have several key defensive players whose status for this week’s game is still up in the air. Linebacker Nigel Bradham is doubtful while defensive end Mario Williams is questionable. For the Texans, running back Alfred Blue and wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins are both questionable.

Houston dominated the Saints on both sides of the ball and the outcome of this game was never in question. Defensively, they did a good job of limiting Drew Brees as he only threw for 228 yards and did not throw a touchdown while committing 2 turnovers. He was intercepted and the Texans recovered his fumble. This was the first time since 2005 that the Saints failed to score an offensive touchdown. J.J. Watt had both sacks in this game and has 9.5 sacks in his last 5 games. New Orleans had only 278 yards the entire game and only 50 came on running plays. Offensively, Brian Hoyer was efficient as he completed 21 of 27 passes for 205 yards and 2 touchdowns. Ryan Griffin was his favorite target as he had 4 catches for 72 yards and a touchdown. Alfred Blue led a balanced running game with 77 yards on 16 carries.

The Bills offense played well against the Chiefs as Tyrod Taylor and Sammy Watkins both had great games. Taylor completed 21 of 38 passes for 291 yards and 3 touchdowns. He did not throw an interception and also had 4 rushes for another 46 yards. His favorite target was Watkins who had 6 catches for 158 yards and 2 touchdowns. LeSean McCoy had a decent day running the ball as he gained 70 yards on 19 carries. Their defense wasn’t as good as they only had 1 sack and couldn’t force a turnover. The secondary had no answer for Jeremy Maclin who had 9 catches for 160 yards and a touchdown. They had difficulty stopping the run as the Chiefs gained 158 yards on the ground.

The Texans are favored by a field goal in this game even though the Bills have home field advantage. Houston is 6-5 against the spread this year while Buffalo is 4-6-1 including 2-3 at home. The Bills are ranked 29th in sacks this year with 16 while J.J. Watt has 13.5 by himself. Since week 8 Houston has led the league in both points allowed with 8.8 and yards allowed with 250.5. Both of these teams are still and the playoff hunt and have a lot still left to play for.

Pick: Texans -3

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