The 9-6 Green Bay Packers will travel to Detroit to take on the 9-6 Lions in this week’s Sunday night matchup. This is a winner take all battle for the NFC North with each team heading in different directions. Last week, the Packers defeated the Minnesota Vikings by the score of 38 to 25. For Green Bay it was their 5th win in a row, and they have averaged over 30 points per game during this streak. Detroit lost their second game in a row last week with a 42-21 defeat to the Dallas Cowboys. These two teams last met in week 3 with the Packers beating Detroit 34-27 at Lambeau Field.
Aaron Rodgers had a great game last week finishing with a passer rating 136.6. He completed 28 of 38 passes for 347 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. His favorite target was Jordy Nelson who had 9 receptions for 154 yards and 2 touchdowns. They struggled running the ball gaining just 40 yards on 15 carries, which is an average of 2.7 yards per rush. Ty Montgomery led the team with 23 yards on 9 carries. If there was a negative for the Packers on offense, they allowed Rodgers to be sacked 4 times for a loss of 39 yards. Defensively, they were able to recover two Vikings fumbles and sacked Sam Bradford 4 times for a loss of 29 yards. They allowed Bradford to throw for 382 yards and 3 touchdowns but did a decent job shutting down the run game. Minnesota gained 93 yards on 20 carries, which is an average of 4.7 yards per rush. Over their last 5 games, Green Bay has allowed their opponents to score an average of 17.5 points per game.
Matthew Stafford played poorly last week finishing with a passer rating of 63.7. He finished 26 of 46 for 260 yards, 0 touchdowns, 1 interception and 1 lost fumble. His favorite target was Eric Ebron who had 8 catches for 93 yards. The Lions had some success running the ball with 90 yards on 20 carries. Zach Zenner led the team with 67 yards and 2 touchdowns on 12 carries. Defensively, they did not force a turnover and sacked Dak Prescott only once for a loss of 11 yards. They struggled against the rush as Dallas gained 164 yards on 30 carries, which is an average of 5.5 yards per rush. Over their last 5 games, the Lions defense has allowed their opponents to average 20.4 points per game.
The Packers have gone 7-7-1 against the spread this season including 4-6-1 as the favorite. Detroit has gone 9-6 against the spread this season including 5-2 at home. Green Bay is 4- point favorites in this game despite being on the road. The stakes couldn’t be hire for this game with first place in the NFC North at stake. The loser of this game would get the last wild card spot only if the Redskins lose to the Giants.
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