Houston Texans vs. New York Jets Betting Odds Preview - NFL Week 5

The Houston Texans have been in fine form all season; looking like the 4-0 team they are every game. Having beat Miami, Jacksonville, Denver and Tennessee by solid, if not large, margins, it seems probable that they will go 5-0 after defeating the New York Jets on Monday Night Football. The Jets are coming off a tough 34-0 loss to San Francisco in Week Four but will be looking for a win to help break the three-way tie they are sitting in for the AFC East.

It is difficult to imagine a scenario where the Texans lose this game. They have a top five quarter back, a top five running back and the league’s leading sack player. QB Matt Schaub has a 105.3 rating, has passed for 953 yards, 7 TDs and only one interception. RB Adrian Foster has complied 380 yards on 103 runs and 4 TDs. DE J.J. Watts has 16 solo tackles and the league leading 7.5 sacks. Houston’s pass defense is 2nd in the league and their run defense is 11th. The mark of this football team is that they do everything well and some things even better than well. That is why they are 4-0.

The Jets are 2-2 having beat Buffalo 48-28 and Miami 23-20 OT. They lost to Pittsburgh 27-10 and San Francisco. The conversation about who should be the Jets’ starting QB is beginning to pick up as calls from NFL commentators begin to resound, asking for Mark Sanchez to be replaced by Tim Tebow (or at least for Tebow to get a shot at the #1 position). In the past twelve quarters the Jets have scored only two offensive touchdowns and accumulated just 145 yards. What is keeping them from getting beat by weak teams is likely their pass defense which is ranked 4th in the league. This has become an era for the passing team so without a good pass defense the Jets would have nothing. The Jets have the second worst run defense in the league; which was obvious last week against the 49ers. Jets head coach Rex Ryan has said it is not time to change quarterbacks but that Sanchez’s play does need to improve dramatically.

The spread on this game is 8 points with the over/under at 41 points. It’s hard to reason why the spread is so low. The closest game Houston had was a 6-point win over Denver. Houston defeated Denver 31-25 and that close margin has to be attributed to Payton Manning because the Broncos had no run game against the Texans. Payton Manning is currently the 10th best QB in the league while Mark Sanchez is an unenviable 30th. Furthermore, Denver beat Pittsburgh and then Pittsburgh smacked the Jets 27-10. And finally, Houston beat Miami 30-10; the Jets just beat Miami 23-20 in overtime.

The spread should be obvious, anything 8 points or under would be a miracle for the Jets and if you are going to pick under you might as well pick the Jets to win. A point total of 41 points is also low. Houston has been scoring an average of 31.5 points a game against better opponents than New York. The Jets have scored an average 20.3 points a game. Again, if the total score is under 41 points something very unpredictable happened and maybe the Texans actually lose this game. Otherwise go with the favored Texans to win, cover the spread and push the game over 41 points.

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