Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Odds Preview - NFL Week 10
Week 10 Monday Night Football will feature the Kansas City Chiefs and the Pittsburgh Steelers. No one is really expecting the Chiefs to win this game but the question is by how much Pittsburgh will defeat the Chiefs. The Chiefs are 1-7 and one of the worst teams in the NFL. The Steelers are 5-3, 3-0 at home, and have won their last three games. The Steelers pulled out a great win last weekend against the NY Giants 24-20. Last week Kansas City fell to San Diego 31-13.
Pittsburgh is expected to win this game with a point spread of 12 points and an over/under of 43 points.
What Kansas City is best at is running the football. Their efforts have given them a 3rd place ranking for average yards gained rushing per game. Unfortunately they still score an average of just 16.6 points per game. The Chiefs allow an average of 30 points per game. Neither side of the football is completely awful but collectively they cannot seem to get the job done. It is unclear of whether Matt Cassel or Brady Quinn will start this week. Brady Quinn would first need to be cleared from a concussion. The Chiefs tried to make a QB switch a number of weeks back but that plan was dashed by Quinn’s injury.
Over the past five weeks the Chiefs have not scored more than 16 points in a single game (6,10,bye,16,13). Against the Buccaneers, the best run defense in the league, the Chiefs scored 10 points. The Steelers run defense is ranked 7th in the league and their pass defense is the best in the league. If the Chiefs score over 10 points this game most people will be shocked.
The Steelers have not only been good on defense, they have also been very good on offense. Over the season they have scored an average of 23.9 points per game. Over the past four weeks they have score 24 to 27 points each game. Fortunately their passing game is their strength because starting RB Rashard Mendenhall is questionable for this game due to an Achilles injury. The team will be getting RB Jonathan Dwyer back this week from a quad injury.
It certainly seems as though Pittsburgh can cover the spread here. A conservative estimate on the final score would be 24-10. Pittsburgh has been pretty consistent about scoring around 26 points. For them to go much higher would be exceptional. Nonetheless, for Kansas City to score more than 15 points would also be exceptional. Even so a 27-15 final still does not beat the 43 point over/under. It still suggests that beating a 12 spread is achievable. All that said, if the Chiefs allow their average points against then, a Pittsburgh score of over 30 points is plausible.
Kansas City’s head coach Romeo Crennel has announced he has relinquished the defensive co-ordinator position to spend more time helping the offense get on track.
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