Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Diego Chargers Betting Odds Preview - NFL Week 9

Week 9 begins with Kansas City heading to San Diego for Thursday Night Football. Both teams are on a multigame losing skid and struggling to make something of this season. The Kansas City Chiefs are 1-6 this season and the San Diego Chargers are 3-4. This will be the second time this season these teams have met. Their first game in Week 4 saw the Chargers beat the Chiefs 37-20.

San Diego is the favorite to win this game with a 7.5 point spread and a predicted game total of 44 points. The Chargers to win this game makes sense if based only on the fact that San Diego has already beaten the Chiefs by a convincing margin. The question is then, by how much can San Diego win this time?

Kansas City is having QB problems. The problem is 1st string QB Brady Quinn sustained a head injury this past Sunday against Oakland, whether it is a concussion is unknown. Quinn did not practice on Monday but is not being ruled out for Thursday. If Quinn does not start then 2nd string QB Matt Cassel will start. Cassel came into the game for Quinn last Sunday and went 20 for 30 with 218 passing yards, 1 TD and 1 INT. Cassel was the 1st string QB until Week 6 when the Chiefs switched to Quinn. Against San Diego in Week 4, Cassel was 24 for 42 with 251 yards, 2 TDs and 3 INTs. Since the switch of starting QBs the Chiefs are still winless. Because of last weekend’s injury, Quinn has only played one game which was against Tampa Bay. Against Tampa Bay, Quinn was 22 for 38 with 180 passing yards, 0 TDs and 2 INTs. The Chiefs are probably better off if Cassel starts, but no more likely to win.

San Diego’s offense could only muster 7 points in a 7-6 victory over Cleveland (2-6) last week. On average the Chargers score 22 points and allow 20.6 points. Whatever happened to San Diego’s offense last week should not be quickly ignored. Two weeks ago against Denver (now a clear playoff contender) San Diego managed 24 points in the first half but scored no points in the second half. They will probably not live up to their true potential this week.

On average Kansas City scores an average of 17.1 points a game and allows 29.9 points a game. As of late Kansas City has been below that average of offense scoring 6, 10 and 16 points in the past three games. If Cassel starts expect the Chiefs to score 20 points, if not there is no proof that they are capable of that many points. Defensively the Chiefs bleed points and San Diego has a well-rounded offense. San Diego seems capable of scoring 30 points against the Chiefs. Thus even if San Diego remains in an offensive slump they appear set to cover the spread.

Defensively San Diego’s run defense is 2nd in the league and matches up well against the Chief’s 3rd ranked run offense. If the Chiefs’ QB troubles mean they cannot get a passing game going, they will not be able to lean heavily on their run game. The game total is set lower than the final total of the last game between these two teams. This would reflect what has been discussed above, limited offensive production from both teams. It will be hard to get this game’s total over 44 points.

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