NCAA Football Betting - South Carolina vs. LSU

This is going to be the highest ranking game of the week as South Carolina (#3) travel to LSU (#9)
with the intent of keeping their perfect record alive. Neither team can afford a soft game this week and
not just for the sake of their opponent. The SEC is filled with dominant teams this year. South Carolina
sits atop the SEC East at 6-0 but Florida (#4) is right behind them at 5-0. In the SEC West LSU is back a
game from undefeated Alabama (#1) and Mississippi State(#19), plus, Texas A&M is 2-1 in the
conference while LSU is 1-1 at the moment.

This is going to be a defensive game through and through. LSU is ranked 8th in the country
allowing just 12.8 points a game. South Carolina is even better allowing 10.5 points a game, good for 4 th
in the nation. LSU gave up only 6 points to Florida (14-6) and South Carolina gave up 7 points to Georgia
(then #5, 35-7). Those were the toughest opponents faced yet and both defenses were outstanding. But
when the over/under is 39 ½ points then you know the book makers are expecting some spectacular
play out of both offenses.

In total yards per game the teams are nearly even with South Carolina edging out LSU with
406.2 yards to 394 yards. South Carolina averages about 3o yards more of passing each game but LSU
looks better with the run averaging about 20 yards more per game. Interestingly, LSU’s offensive
production is split evenly between run and pass while South Carolina favors the pass by about 10%.
South Carolina averages 36.3 points a game and LSU averages 33.5 points a game. So again, this is
expected to be a defensive game but with solid offensive production. However South Carolina had more
offensive production against their one ranked opponent, thus South Carolina ought to be the favorite.

The spread for this game is 2 ½ points. This spread works whether you look at the average
points scored or the points against averages. The 39 ½ over/under would mean South Carolina 21, LSU
19 to go over but keep the spread. That’s reasonable but so hard to predict. Going under does not make
sense unless you pick a winner to beat the spread because that would hold offensive production far too
low for either team based on past performance.

If you are thinking LSU can win this game you are certainly not crazy. LSU has won 22 games
straight at home. These two teams have not played since 2008 when LSU won. A win for LSU would not
only salvage their SEC hopes but also put them back in contention for a BCS title shot.

If you are looking for extra reasons to pick South Carolina think about their two players on the
Heisman watch: RB Marcus Lattimore and QB Connor Shaw. Lattimore has 549 yards on 116 attempts
and 9 TDs this season. Shaw has thrown for just 733 yards but that’s with a completion percentage of
75.7 on the season (80% against conference opponents), 7 passing TDs, 1 rushing TD and only 2
interceptions. Game time 8pm on ESPN.

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