New England Patriots vs. Baltimore Ravens Betting Odds Preview - NFL Week 3

Both the New England Patriots and the Baltimore Ravens will have to recover from tough losses last weekend and reload for this fantastic battle in Week Three for Sunday night football. New England was previously the favorite team of the AFC but now the Houston Texans have the limelight and no doubt the Patriots want it back. But Baltimore has also been a highly touted team in the AFC until that reputation was hurt in their narrow loss to Philadelphia last weekend.

But both of these teams need to be focused on each other rather than worrying about what they lost last week because another loss this week puts either team at a disadvantage in their division. When you compare these teams there is no clear advantage on offense. Each team has the same passing and rushing production thus far in the season. Defensively the Patriots should be better having allowed nearly half the yards that the Ravens have allowed this season. Particularly the Ravens have been weak against the run. It won’t help the Ravens that their safety Bernard Pollard is questionable after leaving Sunday’s game with a probable rib contusion. The Raven’s defense benefit from New England’s loss of tight end Aaron Hernandez who left Sunday’s game with what is probably a high ankle sprain and will be gone for a few weeks.

This game is a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship game in which New England came out on top 23-20. Both teams are returning the bulk of their starters so that game is a good point of reference. This season Baltimore has been slightly more productive on offense averaging 33.5 points a game while New England has had an average of 26 points a game. Average points against has been 16.5 for the Patriots and 18.5 for the Ravens. All of that spells a close game this weekend.

The odds going into this game favors Baltimore with a 3 point spread and an over/under of 49.5 points. New England beat up on Tennessee in Week One 34-13 while Baltimore beat Cincinnati at home 44-13. Cincinnati and Tennessee are both decent teams which leads one to think that Baltimore should win this game. Then looking at Week Two when both Baltimore and New England faced now undefeated teams, Baltimore scored 23 points and gave up 24, and New England scored 18 and gave up 20 points. This could be a strong indication that the game will stay below the predicted 49.5 points and quite possibly within the 3 point spread.

If the Patriots win by a margin greater than 3 points it will likely be because they went out this week signed former Pro Bowl tight end Kellen Winslow Jr. to replace Aaron Hernandez which also means New England can stick to its two tight end offense this week. Also, New England brought back WR Deion Branch, who was cut Aug. 31st after six NFL seasons with the Patriots, to take the spot of Greg Salas. Branch will be a familiar face for Tom Brady and should quickly hook back in the Patriot’s offense. Or all the new faces could work against them.

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