New England Patriots vs. Seattle Seahawks Betting Odds Preview - NFL Week 6

This Sunday afternoon the New England Patriots will take the field in Seattle seeking to topple
the Seahawks and improve to 4-2, putting themselves on a three game win streak. However, the
Seahawks are 2-0 at home this season and are also hoping to improve to 4-2 to keep themselves
competitive in the NFC West. But the Patriots are favored to win this game by a spread of 4 points with
an over/under of 45 points.

New England has had decisive victories over Tennessee, Buffalo and Denver this season but lost
two very close games, one to Arizona and one to Baltimore. New England is probably a much better
team than their record gives them credit for. QB Tom Brady has been 124-185 compiling 1450 passing
yards, 8 TDs and only 1 interception. He is dependable and productive. It might then come as a surprise
that the Patriots’ passing game is ranked just 9th in the league. It is their running game that has the
higher ranking at 3rd in the country. The Patriots have to good performances from the running backs.
Stevan Ridley has run for 490 yards on 102 attempts with 4 TDs and Brandon Bolden has 206 yards on
36 attempts with 2 TDs.

Seattle should have an answer to Brady, Ridley and Bolden. The Seahawks have the 5 th best
passing defense in the league and the 3rd best running defense in the league. And this defense has not
been without a testing. They have faced Arizona, Dallas and Green Bay. Their run defense has not been
tested as well as their pass defense but this game would be a great chance to prove themselves.

Seattle’s offense gets a very low ranking for its passing at 31st but that obscures the fact that QB
Russell Wilson has thrown for 79 completions on just 129 attempts for 5 TDs but just 815 yards. His
down side is that when he plays poorly he really plays poorly. This season in wins he has thrown at
66.7%, 4 TDs and 2 interceptions. But when they lose he has thrown at 59.3%, 1 TD and 4 interceptions.
The upside of Seattle’s offense is their running game which has been ranked 7 th in the league behind
Marshawn Lynch’s 508 yards on 113 attempts and 2 TDs. Unfortunately for Seattle they do not score
many points off touchdowns, fortunately for Seattle they have a good kicker who has become the
team’s top scorer with 38 points this season.

New England’s pass defense is ranked 30th in the NFL and their run defense is ranked 8th. So
Seattle’s offense fits well to their weaknesses and their strengths.

New England has scored an average of 33 points per game this season and allowed an average
of 22.6 points. Seattle has only scored an average of 17.2 points per game and allowed 14 points. New
England has been consistently around 30 points while Seattle has more often been closer to 15 points a
game. That means the 45 point total is probably correct. As for the spread, it is probably so close
because both teams had nearly identical scores against Arizona. However New England has played
against more potent offenses so their points against average may not mean as much in this game. Final
score differential could be higher than 4 points.

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