New York Giants vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Odds Preview - NFL Week 12

New York Giants vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Odds Preview - NFL Week 12

This week’s Sunday Night Football game is going to be a huge draw for fans from across the country. The NY Giants are headed to Green Bay in what could be a preview of a playoff showdown this year. These two teams are the last two Super Bowl champions and while both have played well this year, both have looked fallible. The Packers are 7-3 at the moment, have won 5 straight and are tied with Chicago for the lead of the NFC North. The Giants, defending Super Bowl champs, winners of last year’s playoff game between these two, are 6-4, leading the NFC East but are on a 2 game losing streak. Fortunately for the Giants they are coming off their bye week and should have put their house in order.

The favorite for this game is the NY Giants at a 3 point spread and an over/under of 51 points

These are two pass oriented teams with similar defensive strengths. Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers has thrown for 2619 yards this season, 27 TDs and 6 INTs. He has been underperforming the past few weeks but this season Rodgers has had great games against top teams. Giants’ QB Eli Manning has passed for 2641 yards this season, 12 TDs but 11 INTs (6 INTs in the past 4 games). Manning has not thrown a single TD pass since October 21st of this year. NY has the 9th ranked pass game in the league and Green Bay the 11th, but give a passing edge to the Packers until Manning proves himself again. The Giants get the edge in the running game by a mile. Giant RBs have run for nearly 1000 yards this season and scored 11 TDs. Green Bay RBs have run for just over 500 yards this season and scored 1 TD. The Packers have the 24th ranked run game and the Giants have the 13th ranked run game. Mix the two together and the Giants have a narrow average yards gained per game edge over Green Bay at 367 yards to 346 yards. The same can be said for scoring where Green Bay has averaged 26.3 points a game and the Giants have averaged 26.7 points per game.

On defense there is not much difference between the two teams. Green Bay allows an average of 344 yards per game and the Giants allow an average of 372 yards per game. Green Bay is slightly better on average against both the run and the pass. Again, the average yardage numbers match the points allowed numbers. Green Bay allows slightly fewer points per game averaging 20.7 and the Giants allow an average of 21.6 points.

So here’s a situation where both teams have been playing below their potential. Both teams give up about as many yards as the other team earns on average. Both teams score identical points on average. It is a surprise that the point spread is at 3 and not 1 point.

A factor that could help the Giants is Green Bay’s injuries but the same can be said about NY Giants injuries. Packers CB Sam Shields is still out, LB Clay Matthews is doubtful for this week and LB Erik Walden is also questionable with an ankle injury. Conversely, the Giants have S Kenny Phillips listed as questionable, RB Ahmed Bradshaw as questionable (did not practice Wednesday and is their top RB), LB Keith Rivers is questionable after being involved in a car accident during the bye week, and WR Domenik Hixon is questionable with a knee injury.

Historically these two teams go over 51 points and have so for a few years. However that is if they play their best. Neither team has consistently been excellent this season. Based on the averages, plus injuries, plus current performance and factor in Green Bay’s 4-1 home record this season: Green Bay could upset but picking them to cover the spread would be risky and the game does not seem bound to exceed 51 points.

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