NFL Free Picks Super Bowl (45) XLV - Green Bay Packers Vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Green Bay Packers -2.5 (-105) Moneyline -120 Total 44.5 O (-110) Pittsburgh Steelers +2.5 (-115) Moneyline -140 Total 44.5 U (-110)

Betting Odds Source: Febuary 2, 2011. Check BetUS Sportsbook for latest NFL Odds.

Sunshine NFL Free Picks/Predictions & Write Up - Super Bowl (45) XLV Green Bay Packers Vs Pittsburgh Steelers, February 6, 2011

NFL Free PICK/Prediction Super Bowl (45) XLV ***Pittsburgh Steelers +3 Point Spread (buy the half point)*** Bet NOW at BetUS Sportbook

Green Bay Packers (13-6 SU, 12-7 ATS, 6-5 SU Road, 7-12 O/U) will face Pittsburgh Steelers (14-4 SU, 12-6 ATS, 7-1 SU Road, 9-9 O/U). Packers QB Aaron Rodgers is peaking and the Packers have an X factor running back in RB James Stark. Packers big play offense has looked deadly deep or on quick slants with their YAC receivers. Bookies love Don Capers defense and opened the Packers as -2.5 point spread favorites. Betting action over the the last 10 days have been slightly in favor of the Packers as the juice has climbed on the Packers.

Steelers runs defense has been consistently solid. Starks has taken care of the ball but still can cough it up. Running yards will be tough against this Steelers defense. Pittsburgh has given up their fair share of yardage in the passing game but Steelers had 48 sacks and held opposing QBs to a 73.1 rating. Pittsburgh knows when to dial up the pressure and will be able to get to Rodgers.

Big key in this game will be the Packers inability to cover TEs. Packers have had problems all year against top level TEs and Heath Miller should have a big game in the middle of the field in 3 TE sets. With C Pouncey doubtful/OUT expect more power formations by Pittsburgh. Great article at ESPN on TE Miller's impact.

Taking the Steelers +3 (buy the hook to +3)

+3 (-125) at Diamond Sportsbook. +3 (-125) at Bodog Sportsbook. +2.5 (-105) BetUS Sportsbook. +3 (-120) at +2.5 (+108) at Pinnacle Sportsbook (11 AM PST, Feb. 2)